Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 272.770137 308.046249 347.221349 394.143836 449.067985 511.624318 588.694286
2025-06-15 219.783882 265.927639 321.749915 395.018153 489.788984 609.819373 775.913636
2025-06-22 186.411260 235.604394 298.472679 386.120886 507.445078 672.971058 922.193861
2025-06-29 165.406524 216.421506 284.550239 384.336664 530.513078 743.050761 1087.745305
2025-07-06 144.727328 194.478202 263.225439 367.911605 528.394798 774.207922 1198.503070
2025-07-13 136.841220 188.954955 263.540721 381.823222 572.100820 880.415875 1450.558627
2025-07-20 130.839867 185.225979 265.624821 398.058475 621.079610 1002.676194 1758.247478
2025-07-27 122.327306 176.766739 259.433617 400.012323 646.162057 1087.683667 2016.507670
2025-08-03 112.329401 165.046912 246.871588 389.722487 648.122855 1130.517610 2199.850320
2025-08-10 104.168800 155.454147 236.706548 382.127144 653.485495 1180.067170 2409.194448
2025-08-17 100.567178 152.771119 237.452780 393.443442 695.345324 1308.826750 2833.434272
2025-08-24 95.139480 146.637285 231.804300 392.476033 713.080680 1390.556535 3168.167897
2025-08-31 88.962895 138.922527 223.004931 385.122145 717.847964 1447.090444 3461.953823
2025-09-07 84.651068 134.047592 218.756822 385.969887 739.859463 1547.435051 3912.391902
2025-09-14 79.348152 127.068326 210.151293 377.320922 740.151297 1596.371759 4230.365035
2025-09-21 75.512122 122.374793 205.291761 375.586315 755.424268 1685.319936 4707.459393
2025-09-28 70.098055 114.530744 194.023564 359.615644 736.046266 1681.718187 4878.175815
2025-10-05 68.922046 114.206847 196.794586 373.142688 787.658493 1878.078425 5836.215622
2025-10-12 68.046364 114.352010 200.442283 388.925220 847.378813 2112.464094 7067.070966
2025-10-19 65.616673 111.444682 197.897953 390.824307 872.626115 2252.819038 7997.254292
2025-10-26 62.072109 106.225782 190.394263 380.822201 865.572345 2292.841395 8509.340994
2025-11-02 59.055510 101.844019 184.281920 373.438174 864.539094 2352.364767 9151.358285
2025-11-09 58.084723 101.331705 185.995386 384.439299 915.383892 2596.372667 10882.242589